I have to admit that this week has been quite interesting at the Lebanese border. Since Sunni Islamist groups took over Syria, we have seen a massive flood of people, mostly Shi’ites, who are yearning to flee. It’s like watching a dramatic story play out in front of our eyes.
It was indeed a sight to witness when I found myself at the border yesterday. There were thousands of worried faces, bags everywhere, and an underlying tension that could be cut with a knife. I spoke with a few Shi’ite people who were trying to escape, and their stories—well, they will make you cry.
One woman—let’s refer to her as Fatima (although that is not her actual name)—shared with me the distressing threats she had received via Facebook. Can you imagine? The use of social media as a tool for instilling fear among the populace. It is astonishing, indeed. However, she is far from unique; it appears numerous others are grappling with similar challenges.
Meanwhile, the newly appointed leaders in Damascus—the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham group—are proclaiming that all will be well. “Do not worry, you are safe,” they incessantly assure. Yet, honestly? People aren’t buying it. After 13 years of civil war, trust is in pretty short supply.
I chatted with this Lebanese security big shot (who wants to stay anonymous, go figure), and he reckons over 100,000 people have crossed over since Sunday. There exists a considerable number of frightened individuals, if you inquire of me. (And) consider this: the majority of them are not utilizing official border crossings! Instead, they are clandestinely entering through rural areas. This is indicative of desperate circumstances.
It is not solely Shi’ites who are affected; it appears that anyone who does not identify as Sunni is experiencing significant pressure. Alawites, Christians—indeed, virtually anyone—is preparing to evacuate to Lebanon.
This entire debacle has deep historical roots, of course. Assad, being an Alawite, had numerous Shi’ite allies supporting him throughout the conflict. Recall Hezbollah? They were deeply involved in the fray. Consequently, with the dynamics shifted, there is palpable concern regarding potential retribution.
I am not a specialist in this arena, however, the current situation? It’s really disorganized. In my opinion, there is little chance that things will get better very soon. The only thing left to do is wish for the best and maybe help those in need.
Everyone, pay attention. As things develop, I’ll keep you informed. For everyone involved, it looks to be a protracted and difficult road.
