War experts say that Israel’s possible attack on Iran’s nuclear sies won’t bring Tel Aviv the results it expects.
In a report issued this Friday, Israel’s Al Hayom wrote that according to war experts, Israel’s possible attack on Iran’s nuclear sites will most probably not produce the results that Tel Aviv wants.
As the report stated: “In recent weeks, the Israeli Air Force has conducted several military exercises over the Mediterranean Sea, practicing long-range flights, air refueling and attacks on distant targets similar to a real attack on Iran’s nuclear sites.”
Israel has spent 22 years planning a possible attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities and is very eager to carry it out, but as the report noted, war experts believe that such an attack is unlikely to be ineffective under the current circumstances and without the US support.
In this regard, US President Joe Biden has warned Israel against attacking Iran’s nuclear or energy sites, stressing that any response to Iran’s recent missile attacks must be “proportionate.” Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin has also asked his Israeli counterpart, Yoav Gallant, to avoid actions that could lead to further escalation of tensions with Tehran.
Despite these warnings, some Israeli officials have defended immediate action against Iran. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, for example, argued on social media last week that “Israel now has its biggest opportunity in 50 years to change the face of the Middle East. We must fatally cripple this terrorist regime (Iran).”
Attack or not attack, this is the question!
This debate has also become a political issue in the United States. Former US President Donald Trump suggested that Israel should “strike Iran’s nuclear sites first and worry about the rest later”.
Likewise, lawmaker Michael R. Turner criticized President Biden on CBS and said, “It is completely irresponsible for the president to say that this is impossible, when he has already said that attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities is an option on the table.”
What do experts say?
Experts, however, question the effectiveness of the Israeli attack, because they are concerned that this attack may further deepen Iran’s nuclear program. Iran has always denied the intention of producing nuclear weapons, citing Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s fatwa in 2003. But Israel’s open attack on Iran’s nuclear sites will be a good justification for Tehran to build an atomic bomb.
On the other hand, according to experts, Israel’s ability to carry out such an attack is limited due to the old fleet of Boeing 707 refueling planes. General Frank McKenzie, the former head of the US Central Command, noted in this regard that “a nuclear target is a very difficult one for Israel. There are many alternatives to that target, and many of them are easier to implement, including attacking energy infrastructures. ”
This situation is further complicated by reports speculating Russian technical assistance to Iran’s nuclear program, because with Russia’s support, Iran will be able to regain its nuclear capability even after a successful attack by Israel. Experts also believe that this attack will most likely bring the region into a full-scale war, which is that last thing Tel Aviv may want.
