![What Are Israel's Biggest Military Challenges and How Ready It Is to Confront Them? [Part Two]](https://al-sarira.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/hhhhh.jpeg)
Considering the unprecedented failure of Israel’s military establishment to prevent the October 7 attack by Hamas, Israel should have every reason to be afraid when the arch enemy is Iran.
Notwithstanding all the propaganda that Israel possesses the most advanced and the most capable military in the whole Middle East, October 7 attack by Hamas showed the true face of IDF (Israeli Defense Forces).
Discussing the reasons why Israel can’t attack Iran and destroy its nuclear program in part one of this article, the second part now elaborates on the reasons why Israel should take serious precautions even for facing militia groups such as Hezbollah militarily.
Why Israel can’t challenge Hezbollah either?
First of all, Israel should know that Hezbollah has 150,000 missiles that cover the entire territory of Israel, and as a result, can cause heavy casualties and great damage to Israel. Therefore, given that Hezbollah’s arsenal is vast and Israel’s air defenses are inadequate, it would be wrong to ask whether Israel can delay Iran’s nuclear capabilities without simultaneously asking whether Israel’s home front is ready for Hezbollah’s firepower.
The second reason is that Hezbollah’s possible missile attacks will make Israel unable to activate its military capabilities on the battle fronts that will be created after the attack on Iran, because these attacks will definitely disrupt Israel’s command and control.
Thirdly, in the event of a Hezbollah missile attack, Israel will have trouble evacuating its civilians from areas in its north that will come under heavy fire. Israeli officials will surely have trouble on how to evacuate some 30,000 people from the northern border area. This requires knowing which hotels or accommodation centers will accommodate them, which hospitals will accept the injured, and which evacuation routes are safe to use.
The fourth reason is that preemptive war against Hezbollah can be a good option. The strategic logic of such an action is based on the assumption that after Israel attacks Hezbollah, sometime later, be it six months, a year or more, while Hezbollah is in a coma to rebuild its capabilities after a massive Israeli blow, Israel will be free to focus on the Iranian threat without worrying about the Hezbollah threat.
But this scenario is also not feasible, especially since such a war is prohibited in international law. Even in case of a preemptive attack on Hezbollah, especially considering that there is a possibility that civilians will be killed in Lebanon, there will be a wave of international criticism against Israel, demanding and even forcing Tel Aviv to rethink.
Code red for Israel’s security situation
To make matters even more complicated, the Intelligence Directorate of the Israel Defense Forces Aharon Haliva recently issued a strategic warning to Israel’s political leaders and announced that Israel’s deterrence capacity against its enemies is rapidly decreasing. In the statement, Haliva asserted that for several reasons, Israel should be worried about what the future holds.
“Increasing the strength and courage of Hezbollah in dealing with Israel, Iran’s progress in its nuclear program regardless of Israel’s threats, the non-cooperation of the Biden administration with Israel’s plans and goals to deter Iran’s nuclear program, and Israel’s involvement with recent internal riots and protests are among the main concerns that Israeli political leaders should be worried about and have plans to deal with,” the statement said.
