Hezbollah is in a win-side position following the developments in Lebanese politics ahead of the decisive parliamentary election.
The situation is dire for specific groups in Lebanese election, and a major challenger before Hezbollah has fallen into chaos. The new circumstances provide Hezbollah with a potential to consolidate authority over the fragmented and impoverished country.
Abdallah al-Rahman, on the other hand, will not be voting. The wiry-haired artist and activist has said he will not cast a ballot on the coming election. The candidates whose photos are painted on skyscrapers and large billboards in Tripoli ahead of the parliament elections on may experience a sharp blow by Rahman’s approach.
Rahman belongs to the Sunni minority, which is one of the country’s largest and a typical counterpoint to Hezbollah. The latter is a prominent Shia organisation with a major influence and popularity among people.
Despite this, he is missing the election, as are many of his brothers among the Sunni community, after the surprise resignation of the group’s longstanding leader. As the principal figurehead for the community, Sa’ad al-Hariri proved the only uniting option in the election.
Rami Harrouq, who resides in Hariri’s heartleand of Bab al-Tebbaneh in the north, will also be absent. The 39-year-old manufacturing laborer has been down by the nation’s economic downfall and has felt no persuasion by other contenders.
“Because of what Sa’ad Hariri did, Hezbollah now has two-thirds of the parliament within its sights,” a local analyst said in recent days. Such a progressive system in favor of the party would solidify Lebanon’s place inside Iran’s regional zones of control.
Achievements by Hezbollah would have far-reaching implications well beyond the small land of olives. Israel, sharing borders with Israel, regards the group as a homeland security danger and has already conducted conflict against it.
Hezbollah in Lebanese Election
Hezbollah is a group that holds a special position in Lebanese community. It has a military branch with a more powerful armament than the army, obedient to western policies. It also operates service sections across the country like schools, indicating its decisive influence on future generations.
The organisation has stated that the composition of next parliament would not be far from that of the previous one. Securing a majority is by no means in Hezbollah’s agenda in the coming election. For one thing, its biggest Christian partner may largely lose seats.
However, Hezbollah might have more influence over presidential election in the coming months if it strengthens its control on legislature. The body might have additional power over socioeconomic reform proposals and changes mandated by the IMF
In Lebanon, political allegiance is primarily religious, and Muslim and Christian parties share the power in a peaceful structure. A complex process seeks to maintain a balance between groups that have previously gone to war with one another.
4 months earlier, Hariri indicated that he would leave political life and he and the Movement Won’t run in election. ‘Boycott’ of the election was the primary take of Hariri’s remarks then.
Hariri’s action, which stunned both fans and opponents, came at the end of three years of political turmoil. His declining prospects have mirrored a worsening in ties with Saudi Arabia and other Arab allies.
The Future Movement has not issued a formal boycott declaration. Its bases in the capital, on the other hand, are full of signs urging people to abstain voting, and fans have posted similar sentiments in social media.
In Lebanese Sunni areas, turnout is likely to be extremely low. Hezbollah, thus, has the chance to work as the main actor in Lebanese political scene.
